Betting Against The Public
Content
The Bears are coming off of the bye this week with a 3-6 SU record and a 4-5 ATS after a close loss on Monday Night Football to the Steelers to end Week 9. It wasn’t pretty, but the Colts won last Best Football Betting Sites 2021 week to climb back to .500 at 5-5. Indianapolis failed to cover and dropped to 6-4 in that department, but had been rather kind to bettors this season prior to that game against Jacksonville. Over is in the 49ers’ previous eight games as a road favorite. See who the public is betting on and get deeper insight into the pro football betting marketplace.
Nfl Betting Trends: Losing As A Favorite
— 88 percent of spread bettors like the Dolphins to stay that way after beating the Texans and cover themselves like home night losers. Buccaneers are 10-1 straight up in their last 11 road games. Mills will be missing two of the team’s top wideouts in Danny Amendola (out 2-3 weeks) and rookie Nico Collins .
Top Public Bets
The alternative is the two teams being even at 3-2, which won’t help the Bills down the line. Jefferson left the game against Texas A&M with an injury, but later returned. I backed the Eagles against the 49ers in Week 4, and I like the Dolphins against them this week. Rodgers will do his thing to keep Green Bay in it despite his shorthanded status also knowing Jones and Dillon can help ease the pressure on the ground. But the Packers’ pass defense has too many holes to exploit for Murray not to ensure his team wins a fun shootout given his superior, deeper weapons.
The Chiefs will adjust better than the Raiders with more versatility and big plays while they force Carr into mistakes that Mahomes won’t commit. The Raiders are trying to restore the downfield element to their passing game with veteran speedster DeSean Jackson. But Carr is still most comfortable throwing to tight end Darren Waller, wide receiver Hunter Renfrow and running back Kenyan Drake.
Currently, Away Favorites are winning 62% of their matchups this year. While it’s not surprising that the favorites are winning more frequently than the dogs, the key modifier here is Away teams. On top of that, we’re seeing Away Dogs win at a higher rate than home dogs, which is slightly different than we’ve seen in the past few years. Like most NFL seasons, it’s been incredibly hard to pin down what exactly will happen each week, which is by nature, a gambler’s nightmare. Enter your name & email address below to receive updates about legal sports betting in the U.S.
Betting Mlb Totals At These Stadiums
The two teams have combined to win 10 of 13 games played so far this season. One could argue that they have taken very different paths in getting off to their respective strong starts. NFL oddsmakers have tabbed the visitors as a modest favorite ahead of this Buccaneers vs Saints divisional showdown. The Eagles are 0-2 and teams almost never recover from 0-2 starts to make the playoffs. And for bettors, they face a team they have never covered the spread against since 1980 (0-10 ATS).
Russell Wilson came back last week and got shut out by the Packers. It was the first time ever that Wilson had been shut out as a starting quarterback. The Seahawks are 7-2 to the Under, but have played a few of their games with Geno Smith at quarterback. Bengals are 2-15 SU in their previous 17 games when playing on the road against the Raiders. The Packers and Vikings meet in this NFC North rivalry game on Sunday.
This is and always has been the biggest key number in football and one that you should take note of. If 14-15% of those games are going to end with a final margin of 3, that equates to 2.5 games per week. This is why books are so hesitant to move a number from 2.5 to 3.5 or vice versa. They do not want to open themselves up to savvy bettors taking both sides of the number 3 and cashing both sides of that bet.
Raiders are 4-1 ATS in their last five road games against a team with a winning home record. Under is 4-0 in Football Team’s previous four home games against a team with a losing road record. Chiefs are 4-0 ATS in their last four road games against a team with a losing home record. Saints are 9-1 ATS in their last 10 road games against a team with a losing home record.